Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 9.791241 11.215535 12.790700 14.664616 16.836766 19.279575 22.240922
2025-08-03 7.664901 9.451946 11.589730 14.345329 17.817431 22.065732 27.686210
2025-08-10 6.432366 8.362822 10.806558 14.145875 18.619526 24.446731 32.678762
2025-08-17 5.569019 7.556147 10.189585 13.963812 19.281670 26.577238 37.464796
2025-08-24 4.897413 6.891295 9.639342 13.742873 19.783010 28.452874 42.030373
2025-08-31 4.345950 6.314262 9.122487 13.471349 20.126953 30.075639 46.348825
2025-09-07 4.112495 6.159902 9.178918 14.020332 21.713327 33.673547 54.085028
2025-09-14 3.817775 5.876862 9.004480 14.180788 22.691182 36.405074 60.738739
2025-09-21 3.519858 5.555173 8.731729 14.143734 23.326172 38.623213 66.769806
2025-09-28 3.234410 5.223502 8.406759 13.978106 23.712200 40.440525 72.289976
2025-10-05 3.106926 5.135018 8.463703 14.450266 25.225789 44.340201 82.028061
2025-10-12 2.969429 5.015404 8.454103 14.799343 26.546981 48.023471 91.808100
2025-10-19 2.873037 4.960496 8.554532 15.362272 28.335040 52.797175 104.420089
2025-10-26 2.642684 4.650192 8.179367 15.017784 28.380418 54.268953 110.583139
2025-11-02 2.456071 4.401976 7.892720 14.807812 28.655695 56.205264 117.946823
2025-11-09 2.290481 4.178060 7.630462 14.616560 28.941626 58.181755 125.640441
2025-11-16 2.135280 3.960663 7.361524 14.384508 29.115414 59.935290 133.057104
2025-11-23 1.987800 3.746117 7.080030 14.099349 29.145175 61.377959 139.941403
2025-11-30 1.952610 3.745875 7.213715 14.675922 31.067471 67.137862 157.793357
2025-12-07 1.874030 3.653398 7.156263 14.844458 32.112997 71.055752 171.723131
2025-12-14 1.779709 3.521862 7.008972 14.805537 32.687370 73.953484 183.499530
2025-12-21 1.679320 3.370361 6.808624 14.631571 32.932740 76.101702 193.640533
2025-12-28 1.648670 3.361310 6.905033 15.127522 34.796341 82.351186 215.599753